Service Plays Thursday 07/30/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


Montreal at Edmonton
The Alouettes look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 road games. Montreal is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 30

Game 401-402: Montreal at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 123.326; Edmonton 109.449
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 14; 51
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-6 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 5

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Thursday, July 30

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MONTREAL (4 - 0) at EDMONTON (2 - 2) - 7/30/2009, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordan has 3 plays for Thursday

Chris Jordan Thursday's trifecta ...
200♦ N.Y. YANKEES (LIST Pettitte and Floyd)


200♦ FLORIDA MARLINS (Action) -

200♦ S.F. GIANTS (Action) -



Paid by and confirmed by me...GL...:toast:



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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, JULY 30

NATIONAL LEAGUE


L.A. Dodgers (62-39) at St. Louis (56-48)

The Cardinals gun for a four-game sweep of the Dodgers when they send right-hander Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.35 ERA) to the Busch Stadium mound against Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.57) and the Dodgers.

St. Louis continued its dominance of Los Angeles with a 3-2, 15-inning victory Wednesday, coming from behind in both the bottom of the ninth and 11th innings to tie the game then winning it on Albert Pujols’ two-out RBI single in the 15th. Not only have the Cardinals taken the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-3, but they’re now 44-20 in its last 64 meetings with Los Angeles and 27-8 in its last 35 clashes against the Dodgers at Busch. The Redbirds are on additional positive surges of 7-1 at home, 7-1 against the N.L. West, 18-4 against teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 14-2 on Thursday.

L.A. has now lost four in a row for the first time all season and five of its last six. Joe Torre’s squad is also on slides of 1-5 against right-handed starters and 1-5 as an underdog

St. Louis has lost four in a row and eight of nine behind Lohse, including Saturday’s ugly 14-6 setback at Philadelphia, in which the veteran allowed three runs on four hits and three walks in just four innings. It was Lohse’s third start since a stint on the disabled list, and he hasn’t pitched the Cards to a win since May 23.

Lohse is 4-3 with a 3.20 ERA in seven home starts this year, and he’s 1-2 with a 4.95 ERA in five career appearances (three starts) against Los Angeles. Additionally, the Cardinals are 13-6 in Lohse’s last 19 home starts, but they’ve lost six straight games when the 30-year-old has faced a winning opponent.

The Dodgers have come out on top in Kuroda’s last two starts and four of his last six. On Saturday against Florida, he allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits in six innings, with nine strikeouts against just one walk, getting a no-decision in L.A.’s 4-3 walk-off home victory. Kuroda is 3-2 with a 4.99 ERA in six road appearances (five starts) this season, and this will be his first career start against St. Louis.

L.A. is 5-0 in Kuroda’s last five outings against N.L. Central squads, but it has dropped five straight road games against winning teams behind the right-hander.

The Dodgers are on “over” runs of 5-3-1 overall, 10-4 on the road and 12-7 against right-handed starters, but with Kuroda throwing, the under is on streaks of 8-3 overall, 5-0 against winning teams and 14-6-1 on the highway. The Cardinals are on “under” streaks of 10-4 overall, 21-9 at home (7-1 in their last eight at Busch) and 6-1 against the N.L. West. Finally, the under has been the play in eight of the last 12 meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS and UNDER





AMERICAN LEAGUE



N.Y. Yankees (62-39) at Chicago White Sox (51-51)

The streaking Yankees give the ball to southpaw Andy Pettitte (8-6, 4.67 ERA) to open a four-game weekend set against the White Sox, who will counter with right-hander Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.24) at US Cellular Field.

New York finished off a three-game set at Tampa Bay on Wednesday with a 6-2 victory, getting eight shutout innings from starter Joba Chamberlain. The Yanks are on hot streaks of 11-2 since the All-Star break, 47-22 overall, 10-4 on the road and 16-2 against right-handed starters, and they’ve also won 16 of their last 21 series openers.

Chicago returns home after concluding a seven-game road trip to Detroit and Minnesota, going 1-6 in that stretch, capped by Wednesday’s 3-2 loss. Despite the rough road trip, the Sox are on upswings of 10-3 against lefty starters and 9-3 at home.

This marks the first series of the season between these clubs. New York has owned this rivalry lately, going 10-3 in the last 13 clashes overall and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Chicago, but the Bronx Bombers are just 1-4 in Pettitte’s last five starts against the White Sox in the Windy City.

The Yankees have followed up a three-game win streak behind Pettitte with losses in three of his last four starts. On Saturday against Oakland, the left-hander allowed four runs on five hits and a walk in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-4 home loss. Over his last four starts, Pettitte has twice allowed six runs, and he’s 0-3 with a 6.37 ERA in that stretch.

Pettitte is 4-2 with a 3.69 ERA in eight road starts this year, and he’s 11-9 with a 4.48 ERA in 22 career starts against Chicago. With the veteran on the hill, the Yanks are on runs of 5-0 in series openers, 4-1 on the road and 20-7 against the A.L. Central

The Sox are 7-3 in Floyd’s last 10 starts, but they were dealt a tough 4-3 setback at Detroit on Saturday, blowing a 3-2 ninth-inning lead. The 26-year-old right-hander allowed just two runs (one earned) on six hits and three walks over 6 2/3 innings in getting a no-decision. Floyd is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA in nine home starts this season, and he’s 1-0 despite a bloated 6.75 ERA in three career appearances (two starts) against New York. Behind Floyd, Chicago is on runs of 22-6 at home and 4-0 at home against winning teams.

The under is 9-3-1 in New York’s last 13 games, and with Pettitte pitching, the under is on tears of 37-16-1 overall, 16-5 in series openers, 19-7 on the highway and 8-3 against winning teams. Likewise, Chicago has stayed under the total in 11 straight games overall and four straight against A.L. East foes, and the under is also on stretches for the Pale Hose of 19-7-1 in series openers, 37-16 at U.S. Cellular (4-0 last four) and 5-1 with Floyd starting at home.

Conversely, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in the last four meetings in Chicago, and with Pettitte facing the Sox, the over is on runs of 5-2 overall and 4-0 in the Windy City.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO WHITE SOX

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers Wednesday night.

Today it's the Rockies (both). The surplus is 825 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 30, 2009

The Cards were especially heroic for Hondo last night, taking care of business by scoring in the ninth, 11th and 15th innings to lower the debt to a circular 360 guras.

Today, he'll give a tryout to little Luke, who looks like he might be the real McCoy -- 10 units on Hochevar and the Royals.

 

[CHIVO]

Craig davis
3rd ever 100 dimer

run line

game of the year

part 3

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

StBernadineSports
Lillefty is on a 15-2 run....

San diego padres +145 is today's selection for the free pick

yesterday free pick was the over in the cubs/hou game. The game was in the win column bythe 4th inning as the cubbies put up 6 in the 1st on their way to a 12-0 win. That win runs the free pick total to 9-1 over the last 10 days and overall the last 10 days has me at 21-2
Look for the rare 3 game sweep by the san diego padres in cincinnati today. This game should follow along the same path as yesterday with the struggling reds starter goes up against a padre pitcher who has few starts this year but is pitching well.
Cueto in his last 4 starts has gone 17.2 IP and given up 20 ER(10.12era) and has allowed an astounding 41 base runners(2.4 WHIP). The reds have hit under .200 as a team the last 4 games. Reds are just 5-16 in their last 21 and appear to be spiraling downward fast.
Stauffer had his last start stopped by rain after an inning but his 2 previous starts were excellent. 13 IP with only 3 runs allowed. He has good control and if he doesn't hurt himself with walks , should hold down this weak hitting lineup today. San Diego has won 5 of the last 6 in this series and should make it 6 of 7 today.

I will be back with his other plays....@)
BOL To everyone on all your plays..:toast: Dogg

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Thursday's Lineup
100 DIME ---- MILWAUKEE BREWERS (with Gallardo) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over WASHINGTON NATIONALS (with Martin)

Honestly, I don't even know where to begin. This month of July, with the exception of the last two days (two very tough, close losses) has been a hot bed of cash. I've never seen so many easy winners in my life and today is no different. The Milwaukee Brewers are going to plant a big, fat "L" on the foreheads of the Washington Nationals this afternoon for a number of reasons.

First off, have you seen how poorly the Nats have played on the road this year? 12. And keep this in mind... they just took two of the first three in this series with Milwaukee, so coming in they had 10 --- yeah, 10 road wins all season long. That's worse than San Diego. That's worse than Pittsburgh. That's the worst in Major League Baseball and I don't see it getting better anytime soon. Looking back at the first three games of this series, it's obvious why Washington was able to grab two wins right off the bat: Poor Milwaukee pitching. The Brewers have basically become Yovani Gallardo and four #4 starters, and today the young righty looks to stop the bleeding.

Gallardo finally settled down in his last start (coming in off three shaky starts), pitching 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Braves. He allowed just four hits and four walks, striking out six in his best performance since July 1st. Ironically enough, that game (the July 1 outing) was also against a team from the NL East. In fact, if you look back at his 2009 performances vs. teams from that division, he's 2-1, working 22 1/3 innings allowing just ONE earned run. His lone loss was a 1-0 setback to the Mets in which he struck out 12 hitters. Gallardo recently had a conversation with future Hall-of-Famer Trevor Hoffman about not "wasting his pitches" and running up his pitch count. Although his walk total in the last game was a bit high, he still has taken Hoffman's advice to heart and really wants to finish today's game with under 100 pitches.

There's more. Not only does Gallardo own the NL East, he owns the daylight. His daytime ERA is a full run lower during the day (2.35) than at night and his opponent's batting average against is a sizzling .190 at home. He seems to bring his A-game when he's pitching in front of the home crowd, especially when a crappy team like Washington has come into his place and taken two of the first three. There is no way in heck he's going to allow the Washington Nationals to take three of four on their home turf... he wouldn't be able to live with himself.

Now, let's talk about his opponent... J.D. Martin. A very small sample size to work with, but we do know this will be his first appearance on the road as a professional pitcher. He's had all sorts of experience in the minors as he was drafted in the first round of the 2001 supplemental draft by the Cleveland Indians. He was recently called up to Washington after a solid stint at Triple-A Syracuse, coming to the Nation's Capitol with a 2.66 ERA and an 11-3 record. However, in his first two starts with the Nats things have been a little shaky. A 7.50 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP is hardly someone I'd be excited about sending to the hill when I knew my counterpart was going to be Yovani Gallardo.

Look, he might come out and surprise us for a few innings, but in the end the Milwaukee bats will figure him out and make him wish he was back in Syracuse. The Nats are 12-43 in their last 55 road games, dating back to last year, and have dropped 7 of the last 9 in Milwaukee. The Brewers always seem to take care of business when they are a decided favorite of greater than -200 (24-5 in the last 29) and they've won 7 of their last 10 with Gallardo on the hill when he is coming off a quality appearance in his last start. This one is going to be ugly as the Brewers win by at least 5.






BOUGHT,PAYED AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME----------------GL GUYS

 

[cork999]

Scott Delaney
Thursday ... 15-Dime Reds -1' Runs (WITH Cueto over Stauffer) - Analysis due back by 11:30 a.m. eastern

5-Dime Cubs -1' Runs (WITH Hart and Ortiz) -



GOOD LUCK TODAY GUYS-------CORK

 

[fly73]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

49-26 run

Thurs Braves

 

[fly73]

Joe wiz Bonus Play
sea/ tex under

 

[cork999]

Dominic Fazzini Thursday's play 10 Dime -- BREWERS (Gallardo) -1 1/2 runs over Nationals(Martin)

BREWERS
NOTE: List only Gallardo as Milwaukee's starting pitcher

The Brewers have been a big disappointment in July after entering the month in first place in the NL Central. They have lost 16 of their last 24 games, including two of the last three to the lowly Nationals.

Milwaukee ace Yovani Gallardo (9-7, 3.09 ERA) has not been one of the reasons Milwaukee has slipped, however. The right-hander, despite a 1-3 record in July, has pitched relatively well. He has a 3.86 ERA in five starts this month, and pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings Saturday against Atlanta in his last outing.

Gallardo also drove in the first run in the 4-0 victory, the third time this year he has driven in the winning run.

The Nationals will send rookie J.D. Martin (0-1, 7.50 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander, who will be making his third major league start, pitched two scoreless innings Saturday against San Diego before a rain delay ended his night. In his only other big-league outing, he allowed five runs and eight hits in four innings against the Mets.

Washington is 11-50 in its last 61 games vs. right-handers, and despite two road against the Brewers this week, the Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 games in Milwaukee. And the Brewers have a hell of a lot more offensive firepower than either the Padres or Mets, so I expect Milwaukee to score quite a few runs today. Take the Brewers on the run line.



BOUGHT,PAYED AND CONFIRMED BY MAFA,IRONHORSE AND ME---------------------GL GUYS

 

[BiggDogg5n2]

StBernadineSports -Lillefty 15-2 run

StBernadineSports
Lillefty 15-2 run


Cubs -1.5 ( -110)


The cubs score 6 runs in the 1st and never looked back as the over 8.5 was in the win column by the 4th inn. That win brought the overall run to 21-2. Lets try to extend this MLB season best run today by going right back to Chicago for an early afternoon game in Wrigley.
Look for the cubs to pick up where they left off yesterday and win this one going away vs the astros.
The astros starter russ ortiz is scuffling big time right now. His last 4 starts he has thrown only 19 IP while allowing 20ER and a whip of 2.00. Not surprisingly the Astros are only 1-3 in those games. Houston has lost 4 of 5 now and their pitching is a major reason why. It has gone south giving up 41 runs in those 5 games. The bullpen is near the bottom of all MLB in the last week. A struggling starter and a struggling bullpen is a deadly combo vs a team catching fire like we have in the Cubs.
For the Cubs we have Hart going today and he has been solid as casn be for the Cubs. Since being thrown into the rotation he is 2-1 w/2.25 era. The Cubs have won 6 of their last 7 with all 6 wins coming by 2 runs or more . The Cubbie offense is rolling right now. They have put up 51 runs in their last 7 games.

 

[Ironhorse]

Michael Cannon
Thursday's Play...



25 Dime –



ROYALS (With Hochevar as listed pitcher)



Take the Royals for the road win this afternoon over the Orioles.



Kansas City will start Luke Hochevar and it looks like the 25-year old is having a breakthrough of sorts.



Hochevar is coming off a dominating win over the Rangers on Saturday night. The right-hander allowed two earned runs and five hits and registered 13 strikeouts in seven innings. More impressively, he didn’t walk anyone in the Royals’ 6-3 win. Over his last five starts, Hochevar is 4-0 with a 3.55 ERA.



Baltimore will counter with Brad Bergesen and the rookie has pitched well this year but hasn’t received much run support. The right-hander is just 1-3 in his last four starts despite a 3.65 ERA.



I know Kansas City isn’t a very good team, but neither is Baltimore and the price should reflect that. There’s no way I would feel confident laying this kind of number with the Orioles, regardless if they are playing at home.



With the way Hochevar has turned the corner this appears like a serious miscalculation by the oddsmaker.



Take the Royals as they grab the road win.


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PAID FOR BY MYSELD CORK AND MARFA

 

[Bigcheez]

PlatinumPlays Win

Cubs Runlilne
Over 8.5 Fla
Stl -110
Phi -125
Over 10 Seattle
Under 9.5 NY

 

[cork999]

COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 12:10 ET <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY. <o></o>
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

fat stu fininer



BOUGHT,PAYED AND CONFIRMED BY MARFA,IRONHORSE AND ME-------------GL GUYS

 

[fly73]

charlie
mlb. washington @ miwaukee under 8' runs early card & atl @ florida under 8 runs late card ( 500*).
mlb. reds-150 (30*)
mlb. phillies-125 (20*)
mlb. rockies-130 (20*)
mlb. dodgers-110 (10*)
mlb. yankees-125 (10*) Bonus Play

 

[fly73]

Ben Burns

***HUGE PLAY*** Burns' Thursday GAME OF THE YEAR!
Edmonton Eskimos